High confidence · finished games
When the model is confident
We don’t sell the average. We show what happens when probability is high — that’s where we measure calibration.
Computing performance…
How it works
- We estimate each team's expected goals from form, goalies, and context.
- We simulate many games to get win odds, scores, and likely scorers.
- Models are re-checked regularly: only a more reliable model replaces the previous one.